Schweiz - Türkei 1:2

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Huup.
Ich stand einmal zehn Minuten an einer Straße in Ankara. Es war keine besonders große Straße und Leute, denen ich davon erzähle, sagen immer, ich hätte es doch wie Ulrich Wickert damals in Paris machen können. Diese Leute wissen nicht, dass in Ankara die Straßen mit deutschen Auslandskorrespondenten gepflastert sind, die auch nur eine Gasse überqueren wollten wie der francophile Sympath. Denn in der Türkei hupt man nicht. Jedenfalls nicht zur Warnung. Man fährt. Und man hupt, wenn man sich freut.
Huup.

Das Spiel selbst ist rasch erzählt, wenn man mit den wesentlichen Regeln des Wasserballs vertraut ist.
Beim Wasserball geht es unter der Wasseroberfläche hart zur Sache (weshalb bei Schlägereien oder Reitunfällen besonders übel zugerichtete Hoden unter Urologen Wasserballerklöten heißen). So war auch dieses Spiel ein entschlossen geführtes.

Das Schweizer Tor fiel, weil der Ball in eine Pfütze platschte und dort so lange liegen blieb bis Hakan Yakin sich entschließen konnte, ihn über die Linie zu schieben. Neuer Jubeltrend bei der Euro 2008: Nicht jubeln - wegen der schon sprichwörtlichen zwei Herzen. Dabei hieße echter Respekt vor dem Land der Eltern doch: gar nicht erst das Tor machen.
Da soll sich der Ethikrat mit befassen.
Sein kurzes Dankeschön gen Himmel richtete Yakin übrigens nicht an Fortuna, sondern religiös korrekt an Neptun.

Huup.

Dank der ZDF-Analyse weiß ich, dass die Abwehr der Schweizer beim Ausgleich komplett versagt hat. Die anklagenden Kringel von Guido Knopp zogen sich um die zwei Träumer, die den Flankengeber nicht angegriffen haben, den Abwehr-Guck-in-die-Luft, der das Abseits nicht nur aufhob, sondern gleich unmöglich machte.
Und der Torwart, Mann!, der hätte ja auch mal bessere Reflexe mitbringen können. Na, verdammt nochmal.

Mit bloßem Auge habe ich gesehen, dass die Schweizer einfach nicht das Tempo aufbringen konnten, das für ein weiteres Verbleiben im Turnier nötig gewesen wäre. Während des Konters, der vier Schweizern die Möglichkeit eröffnete, zwei Türken auszuspielen, konnte ich meinem verschollenen Steuerberater hinterhertelefonieren, ein Online-Pokerturnier gewinnen und einen originell geformten Haufen setzen, der mir morgen Rekordaufrufe meiner noch geheimen flickr-Seite bringen wird. Als der ballführende Schweizer dann am gegnerischen Strafraum angekommen war, passte er ungenau auf einen Mitspieler, der aber keine Lust hatte und den Ball weitergab auf den Dritten, der ihn dem türkischen Keeper Volkan in die Arme schaufelte.

Huuup.

Der Schweizer ZDF-Experte Urs Meier erwies sich als Mann von großem Sportsgeist, als er die Szene mit den geschliffenen Worten:
„Die Mutter von Volkan wird ihn heute nicht rügen, die wird ihn loben“
kommentierte.

Auf den Wellen des Stadionsees wogte das Spiel dann noch ein bisschen hin- und her, Abstiegskampf pur lautet die Fußballerphrase dazu.
In der Nachspielzeit dann das überraschende Tor durch Turan.

Huuup.

Schade, dass das bessere der beiden Gastgeberteams jetzt draußen ist, Österreich wird vermutlich morgen folgen.
Ob man den Deutschen die Türkei oder Tschechien wünschen sollte als Viertelfinalgegner, kann ich nicht sagen. Die meisten Völkerverständigungsexperten, die ich gefragt habe, befürchten keine Unruhen für Kreuzberg, sollten Türken und Deutsche aufeinander treffen, ich glaube auch nicht, dass es zu Krawallen kommen würde. Fußballerisch haben weder die Tschechen noch die Türken Besonderes geleistet, die Tschechen sind etwas routinierter, die Türken ein wenig ideenreicher.

Huuup.

Ich bin damals übrigens doch noch über die Straße gekommen. Meine türkische Freundin hat mich geschubst.
„Ein Mann wartet doch nicht“, sagte sie mit einem interessanten Lächeln. Dann hupte ihr Handy.

Huup. Ich stand einmal zehn Minuten an einer Straße in Ankara. Es war keine besonders große Straße und Leute, denen ich davon erzähle, sagen immer, ich hätte es doch wie Ulrich Wickert damals in Paris machen können. Diese Leute wissen nicht, dass in Ankara die Straßen mit deutschen Auslandskorrespondenten gepflastert sind, die auch nur eine Gasse überqueren wollten wie der francophile Sympath. Denn in der Türkei hupt man nicht. Jedenfalls nicht zur Warnung. Man fährt. Und man hupt, wenn man sich freut. Huup. Das Spiel ... Read More

The Sunday Morning Talk Shows: The Review

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Sunday, June 8, 2008
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PREFACE:

On FNS this morning, Time Pawlenty and Tim Kaine were in studio for what host Chris Wallace called an “American Idol audition” for their preferred candidate’s veep slot. (Kaine’s an Obama governor, while Pawlenty favors McCain.)

On TW, Dianne Feinstein, host of last week’s historic, unprecedented, breakthrough, significant, dramatic, and earth-shaking tête-à-tête ‘twixt Obama and Hillary, said that she favors Hillary for veep despite Jimmy Carter’s protest that such a ticket would bring “the worst of both worlds.” (An African American and a woman?)

Next on TW, Lindsey Graham pushed John McCain while John Kerry made mindless pronouncements.

On MTP, journalist Andrea Mitchell offered that prior to yesterday’s Hillary speech, Bill Clinton had been crying. Host Tim Russert argued that John McCain can compete with the Obama juggernaut by convincing the American people that he’s “a comfortable shoe.” He compared Obama and RFK, pointing to RFK’s vision in 1968 that a “negro” could be elected President in forty years, in 2008.

On FTN, Hillary’s former campaign mouthpiece, Howard Wolfson said that Hillary will do “whatever she has to” and “whatever she can” to see that Obama is elected President. Chuck Rangel, on next, said “I would hope so!” when asked if Bill Clinton would be involved in everything during an Obama Administration if Hillary were Barry’s Veep. Jim Webb, on next, compared himself intellectually to Daniel Patrick Moynihan.

On LE, for some reason, host Wolf Blitzer put Senator Bob Casey of Pennsylvania up against Jon Kyl of Arizona, and it was embarrassing. (To Pennsylvanians, if not to the Democrats.) Kyl hammered Obama for his ever-changing position on meeting with the leaders of rogue and/or terroristic nations, and Casey could only argue that Ronald Reagan and the first President Bush did that.

Some good stuff this week. Read the summary below the fold.

PAWLENTY AND KAINE ON MTP. On FOX News Sunday this AM, host Chris Wallace spent a while speaking with two campaign surrogates: Governor Tims: Pawlenty of Minnesota for McCain and Kaine of Virginia for Obama. Both men could be veep choices, and Wallace joked that they could “consider this something of an American Idol audition” for the jobs.

Kaine argued that Obama won the “white, crossover vote” in the Dem nominating process and he could win Virginia, where the RCP average has him trailing McCain by only 1 percent. The RCP average has Barry up by 11 points in Minnesota, where no Republican has won since Nixon in 1972, and Pawlenty countered that his State is becoming more competitive. He cited some Survey USA poll which has McCain winning Minnesota.

On taxes, Kaine argued that Obama wants to cut taxes on the middle class while McCain would continue the Bush economic policy.

On fuel, Wallace pointed out that Obama wants new, domestic energy yet refuses to consider domestic exploration or production. Kaine countered that Obama wants to tax oil companies to pay for “a robust level of investment and research” into alternative fuels. Wallace pointed out that McCain won’t allow drilling in ANWR and would leave it up to the States regarding offshore drilling. Pawlenty countered that Obama is unwilling to reach across the aisle and work with Republicans.

Both men say they would be delighted to be asked to be veep but are concerned with their own States. Neither said they would absolutely reject the job. As Pawlenty put it, “It would be difficult to say ‘no.’”

FEINSTEIN ON TW. Host George Stephanopoulos of ABC’s This Week had as his first guest California Dem Senator Dianne Feinstein, hostess of last week’s historic, unprecedented, breakthrough, significant, dramatic, and earth-shaking tête-à-tête ‘twixt Obama and Hillary. The meeting was to be held at 8:30p; Hillary arrived early, at 8, while Barry showed up at 9, so Dianne and Hillary chatted for an hour prior to the private meeting. Hillary talked about the historic, unprecedented, breakthrough, significant, dramatic, and earth-shaking nature of her campaign and how kids sold their bicycles and old ladies demanded absentee ballots from their death beds in order to support her candidacy.

When Barry showed up, Dianne simply brought them an estimated three glasses of water each. (She evidently could not entrust the serving girl with such a sensitive task.) The talk was private and neither discussed it when it had ended.

Dianne is a big fan of Hillary for veep. (After their private talk, which no doubt centered on that, it seems obvious what Hillary wants.) Steph brought up the damper the Democrats’ elder statesman threw on that notion last week, when Jimmy Carter called an Obama-Clinton ticket, “the worst of both worlds.” (An African American and a woman?) Dianne countered that Hillary brings a “movement” to the party.

Feinstein complained that she had read “column after column, after column” trashing Hillary. Steph asked about Hillary’s baggage being a hindrance to her veep chances, and Feinstein countered: “Everyone has baggage.” (Not as deleterious as the former President, Dianne.) Feinstein said that Hillary is “so much the apparent choice” that she does not “think of other women” as potential Barry veeps.

GRAHAM AND KERRY ON TW. Next up on ABC were Senators Lindsey Graham for McCain and John Kerry “report-ayng for du-tay” for Obama. Graham argued that Obama was a big government guy while McCain favored cutting taxes and reducing regulation. Kerry countered: “That’s not true on every level.” To support his contention, Kerry said that McCain had voted against taxing big oil companies and in favor of sending jobs overseas.

Graham argued that this was a high tax guy (Obama) versus a tax cut guy (McCain). Kerry argued in response that Obama led the fight in the Senate on ethics reform, and that he takes no money from special interests or lobbyists. McCain’s campaign, Kerry continued, was “run by lobbyists.” Graham mentioned Obama’s friendship with convicted Chicago swindler Tony Rezko.

John Kerry argued that McCain would continue Bush’s policy in the Middle East, which has left Israel “more fragile than ever.” Kerry further argued that we have to talk to Iran and Syria. Graham argued that Obama just talks a lot and votes “present.” He further argued that the Surge was a success, while Mr. Kerry smiled and shook his head.

It’s times like these when you remember just how bad a candidate John Kerry actually was. He seems so certain as he proclaims the inanity within his soul reflecting the vacuity ‘ween ‘is ears.

JOURNALISTS ON MTP. On NBC’s Meet the Press, host Tim Russert had a bunch of NBC reporters who covered the campaign to one extent or the other. Russert called these journalists, “NBC’s political dream team,” bit they were really just a bunch of NBC reporters who covered the campaign to one extent or the other. Russert asked them questions, they answered. What opinions they offered, and there were many, were easily ignored.

David Gregory thinks Hillary did what she had to do. Andrea Mitchell said that it was Chuck Rangel who convinced Hillary to quit when Hillary “thought she could take a week or longer” to quit. Ron Allen said that it took “some time to get from Tuesday to yesterday [Saturday],” and there was a lot of emotion. He said that Hillary still believes she should be the nominee. She still wants to be President.

Kelly O’Donnell explained that John McCain had been preparing for Hillary’s departure for a long time, because they knew that her voters could be his voters.

Chuck Todd admitted that the biggest myth in this process was that “the Clintons somehow controlled the apparatus.” Bingo, bingo, bingo, Chuck-o, and you were one of them. The Clintons, he observed, thought that “with sheer will,” they would get the Superdelegates.

David Gregory said that really, this race was over a long time ago, as the Superdelegates proved unwilling to overturn the popular decision of the Dem voters. Bingo for Davey, hindsight was your wakeup call.

Russert wanted to know if the Clinton organization would admit that they blew it. Ron Allen said that the “floodgates opened” after Iowa, when the African American community realized that “this could happen.”

Andrea Mitchell said that while the Clintons were concentrating on the big States, Obama was devising a plan for Super Tuesday.

David Gregory said that the Clintons were a “force in the party” and “formidable.” He said that Barry had to “walk a difficult path” to appeal to Hillary’s voters.

Chuck Todd said that there was “another secret meeting,” which will be between Bill Clinton and Barack Obama. Bill Clinton is upset because Obama called him a racist. Andrea Mitchell said that Bill Clinton had been crying yesterday.

Tim Russert posited that John McCain can compete with Obama the Anointed by portraying himself as “a comfortable shoe.” He proceeded to compare Obama to RFK, who predicted in 1968 that a “negro” could be President “in forty years.” 2008.

Lee Cowan, the NBC news guy from Barry’s Chicago, was not allowed to speak.

Russert’s boss, MSNBC sportscaster Keith Olbermann, opted not to appear on the show.

WOLFSON ON FTN. On CBS’ Face the Nation, host Bob Schieffer talked with former Hillary campaign mouthpiece Howard Wolfson. Wolfson opined that Hillary “closed extremely well.” He described Hillary’s endorsement of Obama as “full-throated.”

Hillary “will do whatever she has to do” in order to see that Obama is elected President, Wolfson said, adding that she has donated money to him. (When? From where?)

Wolfson said that Hillary is not seeking the veep slot but that “she will do whatever she can” to support Barry.

Wolfson is “optimistic” about “our chances in the fall.” He said that McCain “is running to be the next George Bush.” He said that Barry offers a “fundamental break.”

Yesterday’s news.

RANGEL ON FN. Congressman Chuck Rangel was next on FTN, a former Clinton supporter. Rangel was “more than pleased” with Hillary’s speech on Saturday. He said he thinks it will “go down in history as one of the best political speeches we’ve had.”

He thinks Obama-Clinton would be “an almost-unsinkable ticket” and “great for the country.” Schieffer asked if her negatives outweigh her positives. Rangel said that you have to weigh both. He said that brining Hillary and Barry together brings America together.

Rangel agreed with Schieffer that some won’t vote for Obama because of his skin. Rangel said that such differences were secondary if we want this country to survive. Just as “Hillary overcame the sexism,” Rangel argued, Barry has to overcome the racism.

Rangel said that America is “fed up” with Bush and his “record unemployment.” He said that McCain is a “nice guy,” but we can’t move forward with “an extension of Bush policies.”

Rangel said that if Hillary gets the veep nod, he “would hope” that Bill would be involved in everything so long as he “doesn’t get in the way of the new President.” (When asked about Bill interfering in everything, Rangel exclaimed: “I would hope so!”)

WEBB ON FTN. Jim Webb, the dumb guy from Virginia, told Schieffer that he would leave it up to Obama on whom to choose as veep. He said that Obama would need someone as veep who is comfortable with life inside an Administration, adding that he himself had served in the Reagan Administration. Webb compared himself with Daniel Patrick Moynihan as an intellect.

He said Obama will build a “new coalition” and Barry’s “message will transcend racial divides.” He said there are vast difference between Barry and McCain in intellect and composure. (Translated: McCain is a dumb guy who throws fits.) He argued that Obama has proven himself capable of staying on message while taking cheap shots (from Hillary).

Webb said that the town hall format would “level the rhetorical playing field,” as McCain is an inferior orator. Webb said that Obama would do well in a town hall format.

KYL AND CASEY ON LE. First for host Wolf Blitzer on CNN’s Late Edition were Senators Jon Kyl and Bob Casey, for McCain and Obama. Casey said that Hillary’s Saturday speech was a “very strong statement” and showed that she had “leadership skills.” His eyebrow is growing back over his nose. He looked bewildered when asked about those Dems who say they would not vote for Barry. He suggested that “it’s human” and that “we all have to work through this.”

Blitzer quoted Bob Kerrey as saying that Hillary faced a great orator in Obama and was doomed to failure. Jon Kyl countered that William Jennings Bryant never won a Presidential election and that Obama says grand words on things about which he knows very little. Casey countered that Obama brings a wealth of experience to the table and would, as commander in chief, leave all options on the table. He pointed out that the Bush Administration is meeting with Iran. Kyl laughed. He pointed out that there was a big difference between a President meeting with Iran without conditions and having the low-level people laying down the markers. He talked of Obama’s swings of positions.

Casey countered that Bush met with Khadafy. He argued that President Bush has made Iran stronger than ever, and he urged McCain to tell us how he plans to be different from President Bush.

Wolf played a clip of Obama announcing that he would meet with Iran only with his conditions. Kyl said that this was what Bush had been doing, what McCain would do, and it was opposite to what Obama had said he would do at the YouTube debate. Kyl recited what was said, then Wolf mentioned Team Barry’s charges that Kyl got it wrong: Obama has said he’d be “willing to meet” which does not mean that he would meet. Casey countered by comparing Barry to Ronald Reagan and the first President Bush as far as engaging in diplomacy.

After a set of commercials, Blitzer showed a clip of Iraqi Prime Minister Nouri al Maliki meeting with Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad. Kyl suggested to that to the Dems, it’s wrong for Iran’s neighbor to meet with Ahmadinejad but it is okay for the U.S. President.

Blitzer began talking of the economy. Casey called the argument that the Democrats favor government as a universal solution is “old.” He said that McCain is out of step with the American people because he voted against government-run health care for children (and adults, etc.). Blitzer played a clip of McCain saying that the “fundamentals of our economy are very strong.” Kyl pointed out that Treasury Secretary Hank Paulson has said the same thing as McCain, and that we are not now, won’t be, and were never in the recession which the Democrats threatened. Kyl said that prices were rising because of fuel costs, which is a problem but is not the fundamentals of our economy.”

= = = =

Have at it.

Sunday, June 8, 2008 PREFACE: On FNS this morning, Time Pawlenty and Tim Kaine were in studio for what host Chris Wallace called an "American Idol audition" for their preferred candidate's veep slot. (Kaine's an Obama governor, while Pawlenty favors McCain.) On TW, Dianne Feinstein, host of last week's historic, unprecedented, breakthrough, significant, dramatic, and earth-shaking tête-à-tête 'twixt Obama and Hillary, said that she favors Hillary for veep despite ... Read More

The Sunday Morning Talk Shows: a preview

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For Sunday, June 8, 2008

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FOX News Sunday (FNS): Host Chris Wallace chats with potential veeps: Governors Tim Pawlenty (R-Minnesota) and Tim Kaine (D-Virginia).

This Week (ABC): Host George Stephanopoulos has Senators Lindsey Graham (R-South Carolina) and John Kerry (D-Massachusetts) on the air as surrogates to argue about the Presidential election, then Senator Dianne Feinstein will talk about the historic secret summit between Clinton (Hillary) and Obama.

Meet the Press (NBC): Host Tim Russert has a roundtable with a bunch of NBC News reporters: Ron Allen, Lee Cowan, David Gregory, Andrea Mitchell, Kelly O’Donnell, and Chuck Todd.

Face the Nation (CBS): Host Bob Schieffer has Hillary’s mouthpiece Howard Wolfson, then turns to Representative Chuck Rangel (D-New York) and Senator Jim Webb (D-Virginia).

Late Edition (CNN): Host Wolf Blitzer will interview Senators Jon Kyl (R-Arizona) and Bobby Casey (D-Pennsylvania), Kay Bailey Hutchison (R-Texas) and Feinstein, and his usual cast of thousands.

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The Senate’s two “dumb guys” are on display this week in Jim Webb (FTN) and Junior Casey (LE), a sure contributor to the morning’s mirth. The surrogate thing is going on again.

DiFi’s not going to spill the beans on that irrelevant get-together between Barry and Hillary at her DC home, one which I mockingly call “historic” merely because it has caught the scorned media’s imagination.

And Russert continues his painful habit of interviewing official pundits and unofficial pundits (reporters). At least we’ll know what the Washington Press Corp thinks, but I do not understand how he talk to NBC News folks with including their two brightest stars: Chris Matthews and the sportscaster Keith Olbermann.

I’ll be by early tomorrow afternoon (ET) with a review of these shows, and I should be in a better mood by then.

For Sunday, June 8, 2008 FOX News Sunday (FNS): Host Chris Wallace chats with potential veeps: Governors Tim Pawlenty (R-Minnesota) and Tim Kaine (D-Virginia). This Week (ABC): Host George Stephanopoulos has Senators Lindsey Graham (R-South Carolina) and John Kerry (D-Massachusetts) on the air as surrogates to argue about the Presidential election, then Senator Dianne Feinstein will talk about the historic secret summit between Clinton (Hillary) and Obama. Meet ... Read More

McCain’s One-Term Pledge

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Marc Ambinder reports something that had been a rumor for a while as actual, real-live fact: last year, the McCain campaign seriously considered a pledge that if elected, McCain would only serve one term.

McCain himself considered it all the way until the morning of the speech, then decided against it. But from Ambinder’s telling, it doesn’t sound like a firm smackdown to the idea.

Personally, I’m in favor of it. It’s a suggestion Ramesh made forcefully last October, and I believe it would be a powerful moment of contrast between Sen. McCain and Sen. Obama. The negatives, as I see it, are as follows:

1. It reminds everyone that McCain is old, and Obama is young. Guess what: Everyone knows this already. Your HDTV will remind you again in the fall, trust me.

2. It’s risky. Well, McCain thrives on risk. In fact, when he’s not taking a risk, running an insurgent campaign, shifting paradigms, or running with scissors, he doesn’t know what to do with himself, and we get that horrid immigration bill and a load of campaign debt.

3. If he’s not running again, McCain will ignore the base. Look, this is going to happen anyway, on a lot of issues. It’s been happening for years! All that will change is that McCain and the base can be more honest about disagreements, and fight things out old style, in the streets with knives.

4. It has some similarities to the negatives of resigning from the Senate to run for the Presidency. But unlike a Senate resignation, there’s no farewell-tour quality to this announcement: instead, it’s McCain putting all his chips on the table (insert other appropriate and terrible sports metaphor here). Why? Because he doesn’t want to win to advance his power, he wants to win because America needs him. Etc., etc.

The benefits are many: it shows McCain as accepting his Churchill-like status on the right (we need you for this war, and when that’s done, you can retire), it earns him respect once again as a politician unlike any other (imagine the interviews - the MSM gags on their spoons), it makes it more likely that angry pro-Hillary Democrats would consider voting for him (four years of McCain or eight of Barack? They can take four years of McCain), and it cements the idea that McCain views this as service, not personal advancement. It also has the added benefit, for conservatives, of setting up a far more clearcut primary battle for 2012.

I have no idea of any response that Obama can make that would seem good in response to an announcement like this from McCain. Suggestions are welcome in comments.

Marc Ambinder reports something that had been a rumor for a while as actual, real-live fact: last year, the McCain campaign seriously considered a pledge that if elected, McCain would only serve one term. McCain himself considered it all the way until the morning of the speech, then decided against it. But from Ambinder's telling, it doesn't sound like a firm smackdown to the idea. Personally, I'm ... Read More

A Fair Reflection of the DNC

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A meeting of the Democratic National Committee’s Rules & Bylaws Committee is not engaging television, no matter what the matter. Especially when you just don’t care one way or the other.

Sort it out amongst yourselves. Yeah, right.

The real question was: Do they want to have rules? Short answer: not really.

Rules committee member Harold Ickes, Hillary’s hit man, asked Congressman Mark Wexler, there from Florida for Obama, if he approved of the DNC’s principle of “fair reflection.” Wexler seemed unsure. Wexler seemed not to know of any principle by that name, but it has something to do with the delegate delegation reflecting the division of the popular vote.

Fair reflection is big with Ickes/Hillary, especially in Michigan. Levin went toe-toe-toe with Carl Levin on this matter, and Levin accused Ickes of desiring a “fair reflection of a flawed primary.”

Some Obama people think that Barry should receive a fair reflection of those who voted non-committed. There was an unprecedented number of votes for “uncommitted,” we’re told, and exit polls and Ouija boards inform us that these people were really voting for Barry, who was not on the ballot.

There was a lot of talk of party unity, but it’s always couched in terms of: “UNITY BEHIND MY CANDIDATE, NOT YOURS!” That doesn’t work.

I watched on C-SPAN, when I wasn’t out getting the groceries. It was also carried, I noticed when checking, by CNN and that other cable news network, the one with the always-outraged sportscaster. FNC carried their money shows in the AM and their general news after noon (ET).

They’re going to vote after lunch, and they haven’t made the case to me for why I should care. I’ll be happy so long as it is a fair reflection of the State of the national Dem apparatus.

Next time I see Howard Dean, I am going to chant” FOUR MORE YEARS! FOUR MORE YEARS! FOUR MORE YEARS! FOUR MORE YEARS! …”

A meeting of the Democratic National Committee's Rules & Bylaws Committee is not engaging television, no matter what the matter. Especially when you just don't care one way or the other. Sort it out amongst yourselves. Yeah, right. The real question was: Do they want to have rules? Short answer: not really. Rules committee member Harold Ickes, Hillary's hit man, asked Congressman Mark Wexler, there from Florida for ... Read More

ESPN fires radio host who spoke favorably of seeing Sen. Ted Kennedy ‘assassinated.’

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Last week, after Sen. Edward Kennedy (D-MA) was diagnosed with a brain tumor, Pittsburgh-based sports shock jock Mark Madden said on his radio show that he was “disappointed to hear” that Kennedy was ill because he had “always hoped Senator Kennedy would be live long enough to be assassinated.” After waiting five days and considering […]

Last week, after Sen. Edward Kennedy (D-MA) was diagnosed with a brain tumor, Pittsburgh-based sports shock jock Mark Madden said on his radio show that he was “disappointed to hear” that Kennedy was ill because he had “always hoped Senator Kennedy would be live long enough to be assassinated.” After waiting five days and considering the situation “more throroughly from all perspectives,” ESPN fired Madden yesterday. Watch an MSNBC report on Madden’s firing: Read More

A 50-State Campaign?

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About two weeks ago, Barack Obama made a bit of a flub on the campaign trail in Oregon, saying that he had visited 57 states to that point while campaigning. Of course what he meant to say was that he had visited 47 states. Leaving aside Obama’s mixup, I think there’s something interesting there. Since making those comments, Obama has hit his 48th state — South Dakota — hitting each of the lower contiguous states, leaving just Hawaii, where he was born and grew up, and Alaska, where he has a reasonable shot of competing, to be visited. For reference, Obama has plans to visit both states, meaning that in not too long of a time he will have hit all 50 states in the union.

This is a fairly remarkable accomplishment. Obama has already announced a 50-state strategy, but actually campaigning in every state — even if just for a day or two — more than five months away from election day is nevertheless a notable and positive development. Does campaigning in every state mean that every state will be competitive in November? No. Does this mean that there’s value in campaigning in non-competitive states to the detriment of hitting the more competitive ones? Of course not.

At the same time, there is little evidence that having campaigned in nearly every state has hurt Obama. Indeed, Obama holds a pledged delegate lead and an overall delegate lead — just 53 delegates away from the magic number of 2,026 — not only despite having hit the lower 48, but perhaps also, at least in part, because of having hit them.

Going forward, I don’t think it would necessarily be a great idea for Obama to hit all 50 states again between the convention and election day. As Chris Dodd said in an interview with MyDD back in August at the Yearly Kos convention in Chicago, “I’d be careful about any candidate saying, ‘I promise to campaign in all 50 states.’ […] I wouldn’t want someone going off the last week in the campaign because they made a promise in Chicago to be in South Dakota, with all due respect to South Dakota, and, say, Mississippi, because there are three states they haven’t gotten to and we need you.”

Nevertheless, there is value in hitting states that haven’t seen a serious presidential campaign in years past — including, perhaps, Mississippi, where the Democrats seriously overperformed in a special election this month and which could be on the map if targeted in a strategic way. Putting new states on the map can stretch the GOP thin, making it more difficult for John McCain to win in November. This generally means campaigning in closer states like Virginia — or New Mexico, Nevada and Colorado, where Obama will campaign this week — states that the GOP carried in recent Presidential elections but which appear to be trending noticeably towards the Democrats (and, more importantly, where Obama already polls close to McCain). Yet devoting even a few days between now and election day to hitting places like Omaha (where one or two electoral votes may be in play) and Anchorage (Obama is possibly within striking distance in Alaska, particularly if Bob Barr is on the ballot in the state) and even Mississippi would not necessarily be poor investment of time, either.

Tags: 50 State, 2008 (all tags)

About two weeks ago, Barack Obama made a bit of a flub on the campaign trail in Oregon, saying that he had visited 57 states to that point while campaigning. Of course what he meant to say was that he had visited 47 states. Leaving aside Obama's mixup, I think there's something interesting there. Since making those comments, Obama has hit his 48th state -- South Dakota -- hitting each of the lower contiguous states, leaving just Hawaii, where he was born ... Read More

The Sunday Morning Talk Shows: The Review

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Sunday, May 25, 2008
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PREFACE:

On FOX News Sunday, Hillary campaign manager Terence McAuliffe said that the Clinton campaign wants all the delegates to be seated. On Friday, the Dem convention’s rules committee will decide what to do about Florida and Michigan, he said, at which time the Clinton campaign will decide what it must do next.

Next on FNS, NRCC chairman Tom Cole argued that the Republicans want to spend less than the Democrats but that he had personally voted for the costly farm bill because he felt it was the “best time” to get a deal done. Evoking images of Nazi collaborated during WWII, DCCC chair Chris Van Hollen accused the nation’s telephone companies of “collaborating” with the Bush Administration in regards to telephone records.

Over on ABC’s This Week, Obama strategist David Axelrod argued that it would take “tortured math and tortured logic” to argue that Hillary held the lead in the popular vote for the Dem Presidential nomination, but that the popular vote was meaningless anyway because “this isn’t American Idol.” (Was he comparing McAuliffe to Sanjaya?)

Next up on TW, FOX News political analyst Karl Rove pointed out that Obama has done nothing in his three years in the Senate and so must do something in his campaign to show his leadership skills.

On NBC’s Meet the Press, Russert had another of his panel discussions, this one with six people speaking at once. Most of the time was taken by Jon Meacham of some weekly glossy magazine. The best expression came from CBN’s David Brody, who said that Hillary was hoping for Barry to have a “Bill Buckner moment.”

On CBS’s Face the Nation, Hillary’s head mouthpiece, Howard Wolfson, would not rule out a scenario in which Hillary would force multiple votes at the Democratic National Convention in Denver. He did say, though, that he thought she would win before then. Next on FTN, Lindsey Graham noted that Barack Obama had not been to Iraq to speak to General Petraeus and Prime Minister Maliki since 2006, since which time much had changed for the better. Dick Durbin said that more important than all of this was Jim Webb’s little political gimmick/bill.

On CNN’s Late Edition, host Wolf Blitzer spoke to Jane Harman and David Dreier. A Hillary supporter, Harman said that she will support whomever is top of the Dem ticket because of “because of Iraq, Katrina, and, specific to McCain, ‘three words: the Supreme Court.’” Dreier said that Barry’s class warfare rhetoric is a non-starter, while McCain is pro-growth and wants to reduce the size of government.

Read below-the-fold for what happened on this morning’s talk shows. …

TERENCE MCAULIFFE ON FNS. On FOX News Sunday, host Christ Wallace’s first guest was Hillary campaign boss Terence McAuliffe, who spent the first 8 ½ minutes of the show being grilled about Hillary’s comment that RFK was assassinated in June of 1968.

“What she was talking about, was the timeline.”

She never apologized for speaking of assassinations in reference to her opponent, but McAuliffe argued that this had nothing to do with Barry or his campaign. She was not going to apologize to him, “nor should she.” She expressed regrets, which McAuliffe equated with an apology, and Wallace asked to whom. To the Kennedy family, McAuliffe answered, and RFK had bitten the hook.

This was an issue, McAuliffe argued, because it was a slow news weekend. Hillary had said that she had the Kennedys on her mind because of Teddy’s illness, but Wallace pulled up a quote from the March 6 issue of TIME infotainment magazine in which Hillary had made the point that Robert Kennedy was assassinated in June of 1968. So Hillary was lying, right? McAuliffe argued that Hillary has given a lot of interviews, which is a lot like her excuse for telling her rapt audiences that she and Chelsea dodged sniper fire in Tuzla.

On to other matters, McAuliffe would, of course, like to see all the Dem delegates seated, including those from Florida and Michigan. This rules out plans offered to the Dem convention rules committee by those two States separately which would seat delegations with partial votes. The rules committee will decide what to do on Friday, McAuliffe, at which time the Clinton campaign will decide what to do next, such as fight this all the way to the convention if need be.

The thrust of the Hillary campaign, McAuliffe said, is that Hillary would fare better than Obama in the Electoral College, having won all the swing States. He said he speaks to Bill Clinton all the time, and reports that Bill was pushing Hillary for veep are “all false.”

VAN HOLLEN AND COLE ON FNS. Next up for Wallace on FNS were the two Congressional campaign committee bosses: the DCCC’s Chris Van Hollen and the RNCC’s Tom Cole.

Cole was quick to point out that the Dems now run “the least popular Congress in history.” The Democrats want to spend more money, while the Republicans want to spend less, he argued. Wallace asked him about the bloated Farm Bill, for which Cole had voted, and Cole argued that this farm bill cost less than a previous one and that he had decided that it just was the best time to get a deal done.

Asked about the Dem Congress, Van Hollen argued that the Dems had not diminished the President’s ability to fight terrorism; rather, he argued, they had refused “amnesty for phone companies which collaborated” with the Bush Administration. (The word “collaborated” was probably carefully chosen by the Dem Van Hollen, as it evokes thoughts of the old Nazi collaborators.)

Cole argued that the Dem Congress has “done nothing on energy issues,” mentioning that they refuse to address the supply of oil.

Wallace asked Cole if he would agree to a total ban on earmarks, and Cole said that this is what the Republicans had proposed, met with Dem silence. Wallace suggested that the Republicans could refuse earmarks on their own, and Cole argued that it takes both parties to make things happen in Congress. Republicans cannot do it alone, he said Van Hollen argued that earmarks had quadrupled during the Republican Congress, and it was the Dems who brought “transparency” to the process. He also argued that the Democrats want to stop 527s from participating in our elections.

AXELROD ON TW. Obama advisor David Axelrod was host George Stephanopoulos first guest on ABC’s This Week this morning. MSNBC sportscaster Keith Olbermann has evidently been whining about Hillary’s mention of RFK’s assassination, and Axelrod distanced himself from both the words and the sportscaster. He dismissed Olbermann by saying that he’s entitled to his own opinion.

On Hillary’s claim to the lead in the popular vote count in the Dem Presidential race, Axelrod responded: “It would take some tortured math and tortured logic to say she’s ahead in the popular vote.” He then argued that Florida and Michigan don’t count and that the popular vote is meaningless: “This isn’t American Idol. (Was he comparing McAuliffe to Sanjaya?)

When Steph presented the argument that his old boss, Hillary, would win the swing States, Axelrod responded that Obama could beat McCain in Colorado, Virginia, and North Carolina. You know, the “new electoral map” thing.

Steph presented Dianne Feinstein’s argument that the Dem Party is split into two constituencies which could be united by THE DREAM TICKET. Axelrod responded by relating that the campaign is getting plenty of unsolicited advice.

ROVE ON TW. Next up on TW was FOX News political analyst Karl Rove. Rove argued that since Obama has done nothing in his three years in the Senate, he must try to do something which shows his leadership in his campaign, such as say he will pick Republicans to sit on his cabinet.

Rove argued that Obama need not break with President Bush; rather, he must create “a clear image[of himself] among the American people.” He must run his campaign with authenticity, not triangulation.

Steph sneered that the Republican brand was garbage at this point, and he asked Rove what went wrong in the path to a “permanent Republican majority.” Rove countered that the country was still center-right; the party, he argued, must get back to talking about this, not about other things.

Steph asked Rove about the trouncing the Republicans took in 2006, and Rove responded that it was a fairly typical off-year election. He backed this up with the stats and concluded that the GOP had suffered a “very narrow defeat.” The war, he argued, was not the deciding issue.

WOLFSON ON FTN. On CBS, Face the Nation host Bob Schieffer’s first guest was Hillary’s chief mouthpiece, Howard Wolfson. First up, the RFK assassination, which Schieffer characterized as “one of the reasons she [Hillary] is going to stay in the race.” Wolfson argued that Hillary meant that elections have lasted a long time in the past. He called it an “historical reference.” He complained that “her remarks have been blown out of proportion.” He asserted that Hillary apologized, and Schieffer argued that she did not. Schieffer played Hillary’s excusing her self in the New York Daily News, saying that she was blaming others. Wolfson accused the news media of being “wrong” and “misleading.” Wolfson agreed with McAuliffe that Hillary needn’t apologize to Obama.

He said Hillary was concentrating on the “twin goals” of winning and unifying.

Wolfson accused the Obama campaign of “inflaming” the situation.

Wolfson said that Axelrod had changed the tone from the Obama campaign’s initial attacks on Hillary.

Schieffer pushed that McAuliffe’s remarks this morning that Hillary need not apologize to Obama were wrong. He chuckled when Wolfson stood pat on agreeing with Terence for the umpteenth time.

Schieffer asked Wolfson is Hillary would take this to the convention to be settled on the second or third ballots. Wolfson said that he expects Hillary to be the nominee before that, not ruling out taking this through several votes at the convention.

Wolfson said that rather than harming the Democratic Party, what Hillary is doing is brining more people to the polls for the Democrats.

LINDSEY GRAHAM AND DICK DURBIN ON FTN. Schieffer next spoke to McCain supporter Lindsey Graham and famed Nazi hunter Dick Durbin, an Obama supporter.

Schieffer opened by asking about McCain’s little party in Arizona. Graham said that McCain was like a “kid at Christmas, showing off his new ranch out here,” with some fifty species of birds. He said that the event was “purely social.”

Durbin wants to put the Hillary RFK-bit behind them.

Graham said that McCain will make the case that we had the “wrong strategy” in Iraq for four years; McCain was calling for more troops when others wanted to get out. He said that President Bush accepted McCain’s argument. McCain gets credit for the Surge. He challenged Obama to go back to Iraq and talk to General Petraeus and Prime Minister Maliki, as much has changed since Barry’s last visit in 2006. Schieffer asked if McCain and Obama could go together, and Graham though that would do the country good, to go together and have the same briefing.

After a quick commercial break, Durbin said that he would not set Obama’s schedule but that McCain ought to meet with our returning veterans, who ought to get the same treatment as those who returned from World War II, meaning that supporting Jim Webb’s partisan political gimmick is more important than knowing what is really happening in Iraq. Durbin argued that Obama had met Petraeus and asked him questions – really, he did – “in committee.” (Not one-on-one.) He accused the McCain campaign of being behind a negative ad put out by an outside org.

Graham repeated that Obama had not been to Iraq since 2006: “How can you make an informed judgment [on Iraq] if you haven’t been there in two years?”

A PANEL ON MTP. On NBC, host Tim Russert deigned to fill his time on a holiday weekend with one of his panels, this time with six media types yapping politics at the same time: CBN’s David Brody, Maureen Dowd of the New York Times, historian Doris Kearns Goodwin, the Washington Post’s Ruth Marcus, Jon Meacham of one of the infotainment glossies, and Gwen Ifill of PBS. (Ifill was on instead of the promised sixth-wheel, Michelle [MEE-shell] Norris of PBS.) Russert joked that the rest of America was barbecuing while this group was “talkin’ politics,” which shows that he expected his show this week to be watched by no one but me.

Russert led with a clip of Hillary and the RFK assassination bit. Goodwin said that neither of Hillary’s historical allusions were true, as Bill had locked up his nomination before June and Bobby Kennedy had gotten into the race only six weeks prior to his assassination. Goodwin further suggested that Obama might have another “gaffe” or be assassinated between June and the convention in August. MoDowd said that Hillary’s timing was bad, as it followed the anniversary of MLK’s assassination, came just prior to the anniversary of RFK’s assassination, and came right after we learned of Teddy Kennedy’s cancer. She accused Bill Clinton of orchestrating a “hostile takeover” of Obama’s veep selection process and Hillary of “giving delegates the creeps.” Meacham sat there and smirked. Ifill recommended that people never speak of Hitler or assassinations in politics. She spoke also of poking sores.

Meacham said that though Obama didn’t have the number of delegates needed to secure his party’s nomination, this was a “technicality” and the delegates were “irrelevant.” He asked, mocking the Clintons, “What is the meaning of June?” Several on the panel laughed. Meacham said that Hillary’s campaign knows that Obama is moving toward the nomination while Hillary herself was delusional about it. He said that Hillary was waiting for something bad to happen to Obama and that this was lousy for a Dem Party which by every measure “should be burying John McCain.” (Another assassination reference.) He compared Hillary in ’08 to Reagan in ’76 and Kennedy in ’80, running a strong challenge in the primaries but failing in the end, also representing part of the reason their parties lost in the general.

David Brody said that Obama was very close to victory, and that Hillary was hoping to see from Obama as “Bill Buckner moment… 1986, the ball goes between the legs.” He pointed out that there were two oppo research teams going after Barry at the same time now.

Ruth Marcus said that Hillary’s RFK remark hurt her chances to be Obama’s veep.

And so this went for half an hour, too numbing too transcribe, with the dunderheaded Meacham doing about 44.8% of the talking with his rambling, meaningless answers.

HARMAN AND DREIER ON LE. Leading off CNN’s Late Edition, host Wolf Blitzer spoke to Congress critters Jane Harman and David Dreier. He started them off with Hillary’s RFK assassination remarks, and I got to see the clip for the umpteenth time plus one. Harman said that Hillary had “regretted those remarks, Wolf, and so do I.” She said that the race has to be over soon, and that the loser will concede gracefully.

Wolf played for Dreier the audio clip of Obama saying that people make “careless” statements when campaigning” “As a Republican and a strong supporter of John McCain, what do you think?” Dreier thinks that if RFKJr is okay with it, so is he. He said that Barry’s class warfare rhetoric is a non-starter, while McCain is pro-growth and wants to reduce the size of government.

Harman, a Hillary delegate, says that she plans to support the Dem ticket, because of Iraq, Katrina, and, specific to McCain, “three words: the Supreme Court.”

Wolf argued that the government has exploded, as has the national debt, under a Republican president: “What kind of track record is that?” Dreier said that McCain is committed.

Blitzer asked for Harman’s reaction to the delegate county. “Is it too late for her to find the math to salvage her race?” Harman admits that she doesn’t know the math but she suggested compromises on Michigan and Florida, seated both, and the Super Delegates will then commit. The loser, she said, has to fight for unity.

Harman wants to end the combat mission in Iraq and “move the troops to more dangerous parts of the Middle East.”

Wolf asked Dreier about “talking to our adversaries, the way Ronald Reagan talked to the former Soviet Union.” Dreier said that the talks between Israel and Syria were failing because Syria refused to distance itself from Iran. “We can’t reward this kind of behavior.”

Harman argued that 500 Californians have lost their lives in Iraq and Afghanistan. She then saluted the Iraqis for doing much better and argued that this means that we should leave and let them take care of everything. She further argued that we have made Iran stronger by not negotiating with them.

=====

Wolf was big on getting ready to break to Obama’s speech, subbing for the ailing Ted Kennedy, to the commencement at Wesleyan U. This is a direct snub to Hillary, who is a graduate of Wellesley College, which sounds a lot like Wesleyan

Have at it!

Sunday, May 25, 2008 PREFACE: On FOX News Sunday, Hillary campaign manager Terence McAuliffe said that the Clinton campaign wants all the delegates to be seated. On Friday, the Dem convention’s rules committee will decide what to do about Florida and Michigan, he said, at which time the Clinton campaign will decide what it must do next. Next on FNS, NRCC chairman Tom Cole argued that the Republicans want to ... Read More

MS-Sen: Fmr. Dem Gov. Musgrove Leads GOP Inc. Wicker

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The Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee releases polls

Just one week after Democrats picked up Sen. Roger Wicker’s (R-Miss.) former House seat in northeast Mississippi, the party’s Senate campaign committee released a new poll showing Wicker trailing former Gov. Ronnie Musgrove (D) in November’s special election Senate race.

The poll shows Musgrove leading Wicker 48 to 40 percent in a head-to-head matchup. Musgrove holds a 57 percent favorability rating, while 30 percent of voters view him unfavorably. Wicker also sports high approval ratings, but is less known throughout the state - which is partially attributable for his polling deficit.

Wicker holds a 42 percent favorability rating, with only 14 percent of voters viewing him unfavorably. Thirty percent of voters said they “didn’t recognize” Wicker.

The poll, conducted by Hamilton Campaigns, surveyed 600 likely voters from May 15-18. It has a margin of error of four percent.

[…]

“If this becomes a race, it’s worse than we imagined,” said one Republican Senate operative.

Immediately following Travis Childers’ simply shocking victory in the special congressional election in Mississippi’s first congressional district a little over a week ago, one of my first reactions was Senator Ronnie Musgrove. Turns out this wasn’t such a hasty reaction after all.

And there’s reason to believe this poll isn’t coming out of left field. Polling on the race conducted back in December, when the political climate was relatively less bad for the Republicans than it is now and before the Democratic base in Mississippi was seriously activated twice (during the state’s primary and again during the special elections in the first district), showed Trent Lott’s appointed replacement in the Senate, former Republican Congressman Roger Wicker, leading Musgrove just at the margin of error, 47 percent to 39 percent. It’s entirely conceivable that the winds of change, both in Mississippi and across the country, have brought with them some movement in this race. What’s more, as Marc Ambinder notes, the DSCC had no incentive to fudge these numbers — and in fact had a disincentive to do so, because raising expectations is a dangerous thing.

It’s not likely that Musgrove would be one of the more progressive members of the Senate. In fact, he’d likely come out on the more conservative end of the Democratic caucus in the chamber. Nevertheless, he would undoubtedly vote with the Democrats significantly more often than would Wicker. What’s more, with 60 votes indeed within reach — it’s not a likely outcome, or even one with a terribly great chance of occurring, but it is no mere dream — getting someone like Musgrove elected (or even helping ensure he’s competitive, forcing the GOP to play more defense) would substantially move forward the effort to ensure that the Republicans cannot continue to set records filibustering important legislation, like the expansion of the SCHIP program or bringing an end to the war in Iraq. So if you can and are interested, head over to Act Blue today and make your voice heard in this race.

Tags: MS-Sen, Senate 2008, Mississippi (all tags)

The Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee releases polls... Just one week after Democrats picked up Sen. Roger Wicker's (R-Miss.) former House seat in northeast Mississippi, the party's Senate campaign committee released a new poll showing Wicker trailing former Gov. Ronnie Musgrove (D) in November's special election Senate race. The poll shows Musgrove leading Wicker 48 to 40 percent in a head-to-head matchup. Musgrove holds a 57 percent favorability rating, while 30 percent of voters view him unfavorably. Wicker also sports ... Read More

It just took the rules committee 4 years to meet about the issue

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I seem to be blogging about Oregon a lot lately, but I try to choose the stories which have interest to everyone. (I missed the Obama rally, though, embarrassingly enough. Augustlet got to run the bases at the Triple-A baseball game, so I don’t regret the choice.)
But speaking of youth sports, holy shit.
Jaime Nared is […]

I seem to be blogging about Oregon a lot lately, but I try to choose the stories which have interest to everyone. (I missed the Obama rally, though, embarrassingly enough. Augustlet got to run the bases at the Triple-A baseball game, so I don’t regret the choice.) But speaking of youth sports, holy shit. Jaime Nared is nearly 6-1 and blessed with Michael Jordan-style skills. In games, the 12-year-old can more than hold her own against the boys — dropping three-pointers and sometimes scoring ... Read More